Financial Times:

Study: long-shot Polymarket bets on military action, defined as $2,500+ wagers at odds of 35% or less, have a ~52% average win rate, vs. 25% for political bets  —  High rate of winning wagers likely to add to concerns that sensitive information can leak on prediction markets

Financial Times:

Study: long-shot Polymarket bets on military action, defined as $2,500+ wagers at odds of 35% or less, have a ~52% average win rate, vs. 25% for political bets  —  High rate of winning wagers likely to add to concerns that sensitive information can leak on prediction markets

Source: TechMeme
Source Link: https://www.techmeme.com/260430/p17#a260430p17